海南省副省长冀文林日前被调查，这已经是中共前政治局常委、政法委书记周永康的第四位秘书落马了。大陆 媒体毫不隐讳周永康与冀文林的关系，并且报导数量呈爆炸式的涌现。外界评价，周永康案〝呼之欲出〞，但是何时会被抛出呢？时政 评论家们不约而同的指向中共的〝两会〞之前。这是为什么呢？一起去看看。
在海南省副省长冀文林被调查的消息公开后，大陆媒体海量报导了冀文林的经历、性格特点、朋友圈子、与〝中石油〞贪腐案的关系等内幕 。
其中最引人注意的消息是：冀文林是周永康第四位落马的秘书。
从1998年到2008年，冀文林在各地、各部门中一直担任周永康的秘书，相较于周永康的〝大秘〞郭永祥，冀文林有〝贴身小秘书〞之称。
在此之前落马的三位周永康的秘书是：原四川省委副书记、省人大副主任郭永祥，他在去年6月23号被调查；另外，原〝中石油〞副总经理李华林，是在去年8月27号被调查；四川省政协主席李崇禧，则在去年12月29号被调查。
大陆媒体还绘制了这四位秘书之间的关系图。舆论普遍评价，周永康案呼之欲出。大陆时政分析人士华颇预测，应该在〝两会〞前。
大陆时政分析人士华颇：〝两会上要敲定国安委人选。现在习最头疼的就是政治反对派对他所实行的政策的搅局。最近对立面接连出招，陈光标到美国的那个闹剧、离岸资金，再到东莞扫黄，最近热炒的公务员嚷嚷的要涨工资……〞
华颇认为，这都是中共内部现任领导层的对立派系，在暗中使出的损招。而现任中共领导人很可能抛出〝周老虎〞，以扫清障碍。
华颇：〝这背后的问题 都是对立面在调动一切力量，对习近平一些政策打横炮、阳奉阴违。所以现在双方在两会当中可能还要有一轮的生死搏斗。所以有可能在两会之前，把周永康抛出来，来保障两会的顺利进行。〞
冀文林落马，还牵出了周永康另一位秘书李华林的陈年往事。据《中国 经营报》调查，周永康长子周滨就读美国〝西南石油大学〞，是李华林一手操办的。1992年3月，李华林被〝中石油天然气总公司〞派往美国休斯敦办事处任副主任，当时周滨前往美西的德克萨斯 州留学，毕业于美国〝西南石油大学〞的〝大师兄〞李华林，就成了照顾周滨的〝保姆〞。
大陆媒体对这一内容纷纷转载，但20号又大量删除。目前只有海外媒体保存报导。这是否暗示着周永康被抛出产生了变故？〝两会〞前未必能见分晓？
旅美专栏作家、中国问题专家章天亮博士：〝如果周永康这个案子不能查下去，那么习近平就会非常的危险。因为党内斗争从来都是你死我活的，你这边一撤，那就是示弱了。那么中共那些老‘官油子’们，谁强就站在哪一边。对习近平来说，走到这一步，已经没有任何退路了。〞
国际舆论认为，周永康的最大罪行是在维稳期间迫害中国民众、尤其是活摘法轮功 学员器官的〝反人类罪〞。
旅美专栏作家章天亮博士分析，现在不仅是周永康的党羽被清理干净了，而且他背后的〝老老虎们〞也被曝光得差不多了。很典型的一个例子就是〝陈光标事件〞，等于是周永康的后台势力——曾庆红、罗干、江泽民等〝血债派〞，已经自己跳到前台来了。
再一个就是有关〝离岸资金〞的解密事件，章天亮认为，这也是江泽民集团有意放的料。
章天亮：〝他们是大贪官，但竟然没有他们的资料。这已经表明了他们是幕后的操作者。这两件事做完后，对习近平来说，他应该就比较放心了。你们还有什么杀手鐧？到此为止！在两会期间公布，我想时机是比较成熟的。〞
据报导，冀文林被查，与周永康的所有〝据点〞——四川官场、石油系统 、政法系统，有密切关系。而周永康目前被关在内蒙古一处秘密地方，接受调查。他的长子周滨也在同处被押。
采访编辑/唐音 后制/陈建铭
Four secretaries sacked.
When will Zhou Yongkang be thrown out?
Hainan Vice-Governor Ji Wenlin has recently
been investigated.
He is the fourth sacked secretary of Zhou Yongkang who was
a former CCP Politburo Standing Committee official.
His position was secretary of Politics and Law Committee.
Mainland media doesn’t hide relations between Zhou Yongkang
and Ji Wenlin, and the reports emerged explosively.
Outside reports commented, when Zhou Yongkang’s case
will be released to the public? But also when will they throw it out?
Political commentary believes it will happen during
CCP’s “two sessions”. Lets take a look at the facts.
After publicly releasing Hainan Vice-Governor Ji Wenlin’s
investigation,
mainland media reported on Ji Wenlin’s experience, his character,
circle of friends and his corrupt relations with “PetroChina.”
One of the most notable pieces of news, is that Ji Wenlin
is Zhou Yongkang’s fourth sacked secretary.
From 1998 to 2008, Ji Wenlin served as Zhou
Yongkang’s secretary in various departments and places.
Comparing him in light of the “big secret” Guo Yongxiang,
Ji Wenlin was known as “personal secretary”.
Three former secretaries sacked before him are:
deputy secretary of Sichuan Provincial Committee
and Provincial People’s Congress deputy director Guo Yongxiang,
was investigated June 23 2013;
former deputy general manager of “PetroChina” Li Hualin,
was investigated August 27;
and Sichuan Provincial People’s political consultative conference
Chairman Li Chongxi, was also investigated Dec. 29.
Mainland media also drew conclusions between
the four Secretaries.
Public opinion generally believed Zhou Yongkang’s case is ready
for release.
Mainland political watcher Hua Po estimated it should be
before the “two sessions”.
Mainland political watcher Hua Po: “Two sessions will decide
and finalize candidates for the National Security Committee.
The trouble Xi Jinping faces is his political opposition,
making for trouble on this policy.
Recently, they attacked issues related to Chen Guangbiao’s
farce in the US,
offshore funds, Dongguan’s anti-vice, and most recent of all
the civil servants’ request for a pay raise…… “
Hua Po believes that these are all corrosive tricks played
by the opposition factions within the CCP leadership.
The current leaders are likely to throw “Tiger Zhou” out in order
to clear up such obstacles.
Hua Po: “The problem behind all of this, are those
opposition factions,
who are mobilizing forces to speak unanimously to act
in unison toXi Jinping’s policies.
So there will be life-and-death struggles between both sides in
the two sessions.
To ensure smooth conduct of the two sessions, they
might throw Zhou Yongkang out first.”
Ji Wenlin’s falling is likely to place focus upon another of
Zhou Yongkang’s secretaries, Li Hualin’s.
According to “China Business”, Li Hualin totally handled Zhou
Yongkang’s eldest son, Zhou Bin,
study sessions at the US Southwest Petroleum University.
March of 1992, Li Hualin was assigned as Houston office
deputy director by China National Petroleum Co.
At the same time, Zhou bin went to study in Texas and the
“Big Brother” who graduated from the Southwest
Petroleum University Li Hualin, became Zhou bin’s nanny.
Mainland media have reproduced this content but deleted most
of it on the 20th.
Currently, it can only be read upon overseas reports.
Does this imply there is an incident connected to Zhou Yongkang’s
dismissal, with no outcome before two sessions?
US-based columnist, China expert Dr. Zhang Tianliang: “Xi
Jinping will get very bad if Zhou Yongkang’s case
cannot be further investigated.
Because there are power struggles within the party, they are
like power struggles between life-and-death.
It is a sign of weakness to withdraw and the CCP old officials
will just stand on the side that’s most strong.
There is no easy way out for Xi Jinping.”
International public opinion believes Zhou Yongkang’s biggest
crime was to persecute people during the stability maintenance,
especially the “against humanity crime” of organ harvesting
from living Falun Gong practitioners.
US columnist Dr. Zhang Tianliang analyzed, now its not only Zhou
Yongkang’s partisan who have been cleaned up,
but also the “old tigers” behind him have also been
exposed too.
A typical example, the “Chen Guangbiao event” is tantamount to
Zhou Yongkang backup forces –
the likes of Zeng Qinghong, Luo Gan, Jiang Zemin and other
“blood debt faction” have jumped to the fore-front.
Another issue is the “offshore funds” decryption event.
Dr. Zhang believes that this was intentionally released by Jiang.
Chapter dawn: “They are big and corrupt officials, but there was
no information connected to them.
It means they are the operators behind all things.
There are two issues to be acknowledged.
For Xi Jinping, he should find relief with these two issues now.
What chance do all the bad elements, Jiang’s faction now have.
its the end for these people.
It is this issue that should come to the front of all things
during the two sessions.”
It’s said that Ji Wenlin’s investigation is closely related to all
Zhou Yongkang’s “stronghold.” -
Sichuan officialdom, petroleum systems, political and legal systems.
Zhou Yongkang is currently under investigation in a
secret place in Inner Mongolia.
His eldest son, Zhou Bin, he too is being held at the same place.
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