Monday, December 22, 2014

【禁闻】〝刺杀金正恩〞让中共陷微妙处境


由于遭到黑客攻击和朝鲜威胁,索尼影业取消了喜剧片〝刺杀金正恩〞在圣诞节的预定上映,不过这部电影最关键的27秒却流传出来,受到网友力挺。已经提请配合遏制朝鲜实施网络攻击的能力,无论中共方面做出怎样的回应,这似乎都让中共陷入一种微妙的境地,请看分析。


《芝加哥太阳报》影评人理查德.罗珀:〝罗斯福早就说过,‘我们唯一应当恐惧的,就是恐惧本身’。现在就是这种情况。我认为这真是十分黑暗的一天,不仅对电影业,还有美国用这种方式让步。〞


由于遭到黑客攻击和朝鲜政府威胁,索尼影业取消了喜剧片〝刺杀金正恩〞在圣诞节的预定上映,引发全美哗然,让影评人气得直说〝黑暗〞。


不过,在防不胜防的互联网面前,人为制造的黑暗再大,也难免会裂出一条小缝。这两天,〝刺杀金正恩〞电影最关键27秒,也就是金正恩被刺杀的片段,在网络上流传开了。


网友们也发起了〝给‘刺杀金正恩’打满分〞的活动,不仅在美国电影网站 IMDB上已经有超过一万人给这部片子打了10分,大陆的〝豆瓣电影〞也有2000多人打到9.8分。不过〝豆瓣〞目前已经关闭了这部影片的讨论页面。


而微博上有很多大陆网友留言说,〝太想看了〞,〝就等这个了〞。


哥伦比亚大学研究所访问学者谷川:〝中国 网民不喜欢金正恩,当然也不喜欢朝鲜这个国家。因为历史 朝鲜战争 ,金日成把中国拖下水,死了那么多人,现在朝鲜又对中国那么不好。实际上中国网民也不喜欢,不喜欢普京。但,因为它都是独裁,都是极权的政府,所以它们都会捆在一起。〞


而在国际事务上一直〝罩着〞朝鲜的中共,也不得不就这个事件做出回应。《纽约时报》说,美国政府已经寻求中国的帮助,以遏制朝鲜实施网络攻击的能力。因为朝鲜几乎所有的电信活动都要经由中国运营的网路。


资深评论员杰森.马博士:〝因为他都走的中国的网线网关,相关的黑客行踪,你只要把他大概的发动命令的起始点IP告诉中国,就会非常清楚知道是从哪儿发出来的。〞


这无疑让中共站在一个很微妙的境地,因为自从美国司法部在今年5月正式指控中方的五名黑客窃取了美国企业的敏感信息之后,双方在网路安全问题 上一直关系紧张。


杰森.马博士:〝这实际上是美国在测试一个概念,就是到底这次黑客行为有没有中国人帮助,中共是不是在这个过程中起了一个非常关键的作用?美国说这是朝鲜做的,你要查一定能查的出来,那你查不查?如果你不查,或者以此为藉口,说朝鲜没做等等,那么很可能这个过程中,其实把中共也暴露出来了。〞


目前中共还没有具体回应美国的提议,对于中共可能采取的态度,评论人士有不一样的看法。


谷川:〝它肯定不会配合做调查的。而且中国也对美国进行黑客攻击。美国就是它的敌人了,它不会去帮助敌人的。〞


杰森.马博士:〝我想中共方面回应,装糊涂的可能性更大一些。就说不知道,为了维护网民的安全,我们不透露有关信息,它可能以此为藉口,或者说它就置之不理,完全不回应。〞


时政 观察人士唐靖远认为,中共内部可能有某个派系会配合美国的调查。


时政观察人士唐靖远:〝这个涉及到一个很微妙的问题,就是怎么去界定中共和朝鲜之间,它是小兄弟的关系。这种关系其实在中共高层 它都是分裂的,因为中共高层 现在事实上就是分裂,明显的是分成两大派,那么就会折射到国际关系。〞


唐靖远指出,之前出席金正恩接班仪式的,是前中共政法委书记周永康 ,最近金正日三周年忌日,去朝鲜驻华使馆送花的,是中共现任刘云山,这两人都是官员。而中共总书记至今还没有访问所谓的〝盟友〞朝鲜,反而先去访问了韩国,近期和奥巴马的互动也让世界有目共睹。中共高层的严重分裂,使得对外关系也处于微妙的境地。


采访/编辑/尚燕 后制/舒灿


Comedy Film on Kim Jong-un Puts Chinese Regime in Dilemma


Due to cyber attacks and threats from North Korea,

Sony Pictures cancelled its premiere of the comedy film

"Kim Jong-un Assassination",

which was slated for Christmas Day.

But the most crucial 27 seconds of the film was circulated

on the Internet and widely liked by netizens.

The United States has asked the Chinese regime to help curb

North Korea's capability for cyber attacks.

Regardless of how the Chinese regime would respond,

it seems to have put the Chinese regime

into a delicate situation.


Please see the following analyses.


Richard Roeper, film critic, the Chicago Sun-Times says:

"... FDR said it a million years ago,

The only thing we have to fear is fear itself.


That's exactly what is happening now.


I think this really is a very dark day not only

for the movie industry but for America to give in like this."


Due to the cyber attacks and threats from North Korea,

Sony Pictures cancelled its premiere of the comedy film

"Kim Jong-un Assassination".


It has triggered outcry across the US.

Some critics have described it as "awful".


However, faced with the permeable Internet,

no matter how big the man-made "awfulness" may be,

there will inevitably be a clue.


These days, the most crucial 27 seconds of the film,

which is a fragment depicting the assassination of Kim Jong-un,

has circulated on the Internet.


Netizens have also launched a campaign to give full marks

to the film.

Not only have over 10,000 people given the film 10 points

on the Website of US Internet Movie Database (IMDB),

but more than 2,000 Chinese have also given 9.8 points

on the Movie.douban.com's Website.

But the movie.douban.com has closed the discussion page

for this film.


Many netizens in mainland China said on microblog that

they have been "anxious to see it", and that

"this is exactly what we've been waiting for".


Tanigawa, visiting scholar at Columbia University

Institute of Human Rights: "Chinese netizens do not like

Kim Jong-un and North Korea, because in the Korean War,

Kim Il Sung dragged China into the hot water

that cost many people their lives,

and North Korea's attitude toward China is not so good nowadays.

In fact, Chinese netizens do not like Russia and Putin either.


However, the Chinese regime regards it as its ally

because both of them are authoritarian regimes."


On the frontline of international affairs, the Chinese regime has

long been North Korea's supporter, so, it has no choice

but to make some response to this incident.


New York Times reported the US government has sought

help from China, to curb North Korea' capability for cyber attacks,

as almost all of North Korea's communication systems

go via Chinese network systems.


Senior critic Dr. Jason Ma: "As its communication systems

are via China's cable gateway, relevant hackers' whereabouts

can easily be identified, as long as the IP that launched

the hacks are given to the Chinese regime."


It undoubtedly put the Chinese regime in a very delicate

situation.

Since the US Department of Justice formally accused

five Chinese military hackers of stealing sensitive information

from US companies, the two sides have had tense relations

on the issue of cyber security.


Dr. Jason Ma: "This is actually a concept that the US is testing.


That is, whether there were Chinese people who helped

the hacking activity, and whether the regime has played

a crucial role during the process.


If the US says that it was done by North Korea,

would the Chinese regime conduct the investigations?

If the regime rejects the request, or fabricates an excuse

to say that it wasn't done by North Korea, then,

during the process,

the Chinese regime's lies can actually be exposed."


To date, the Chinese regime has yet to come up

with any specific response to US proposals.

As to the possible attitude the Chinese regime might take,

critics have different views.


Tanigawa: "It certainly will not launch any investigation,

as the Chinese regime has also launched hacking activities

against the United States.


The US is the regime's enemy, so it won't help its enemy."


Dr. Jason Ma: "I think the Chinese regime is very likely

to pretend to know nothing about it.

It would claim that to safeguard the security of Internet users,

it cannot disclose the relevant information.

It may use this as an excuse, or just ignore it altogether,

without giving any response."


Politics observer Tang jingyuan said that a certain faction

within the Chinese Communist Party is likely

to help out the US investigation.


Tang jingyuan: "This involves a very subtle issue, that is, how

to define the close relationship between the CCP and North Korea.

In fact, this relationship is diversified among the Chinese

regime's leadership, because the leadership is actually divided,


and it has apparently divided into two distinct factions.


And this situation will reflect on its international relations."


Tang jingyuan pointed out that the Chinese official

who attended Kim Jong-un's inaugural ceremony was

former secretary of the Politburo, Zhou Yongkang.


Recently, on the third anniversary of Kim Jong Il's death,

the official who went to the North Korean Embassy to China

to place the bouquet was incumbent CCP Politburo Standing

Committee member Liu Yunshan.

Both of them are officials from the Jiang Zemin faction.


CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping has yet to visit North Korea,

its so-called "ally", and instead, he visited South Korea first.

His recent interactions with Obama have attracted

the world's attention.

The serious division among the Chinese regime leadership

has also made the regime's foreign relations very complex.


Interview & Edit/ShangYan Post-Production/ShuCan


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